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Monthly National Security Index


July 20, 2006
DPC Staff Contact:

Statistics of the month: Afghanistan

 

Number of suicide bombings in Afghanistan in the past nine months:

40

Number of suicide bombings in the preceding five years:

5

Amount the U.S. and NATO spend on military operations per year in Afghanistan:

$15-18 billion

Number of U.S. troops in Afghanistan:

23,000

Amount of aid the international community has provided to Afghanistan each year since 2001:

$2.5 billion,

($1 billion from the U.S.)

Amount of international aid allocated per person in Afghanistan:

$57

Amount of international aid allocated per person in Iraq:

$206

Number of new dams, power stations, and major water systems built in Afghanistan in the five years since the U.S.-led invasion:

0

Reconstruction gap (difference between estimates of what is needed to rebuild Afghanistan and what the international community has pledged in aid) in Afghanistan:

$8.7 billion

Percent of Afghan population that has access to electricity:

6 percent

Out of 178 countries, rank of Afghanistan in the basic index of human development:

173

 

 

Iraq - Security

 

 

Approximate number of U.S. troops currently in Iraq:

126,900

Percent of coalition forces contributed by the U.S.:

86

Approximate amount appropriated by Congress for Iraq operations so far (including funding authorized by the Fiscal Year 2006 Emergency Supplemental): 

$320 billion

Approximate amount spent by the U.S. in World War I (in inflation-adjusted dollars):

$205 billion

Approximate amount the U.S. is spending in Iraq per month in Fiscal Year 2006 (including operational and investment costs): 

$8.1 billion

Approximate amount the U.S. spent in Iraq per month in Fiscal Year 2003 (including operational and investment costs): 

$4.4 billion

Number of U.S. service members killed in Iraq:

2,547

Number reported wounded by the Defense Department:

18,988

Number of National Guard soldiers killed in Iraq through July 1, 2006:

364

Number of National Guard soldiers killed in the entire Vietnam War:

97

Number of Iraqi military and police killed since training began (June 2003):

4,898

Number of journalists killed in Iraq:

74

Number of journalists killed in Vietnam:

63

Estimated number of insurgents in Iraq (November 2003):

5,000

Estimated number of insurgents in Iraq (June 2006):

20,000 +

Estimated number of foreign fighters in Iraq in May 2003:

100

Estimated number of foreign fighters in Iraq in May 2006:

1,500

Number of civilian casualties in Iraq since U.S.-led invasion:

20,600 – 37,200

Estimated number of 88 Iraqi military battalions that are capable of operating independently:

0

Number of multi-fatality bombings in June 2004:

9

Number of multi-fatality bombings in June 2006:

57

Average number of daily attacks by insurgents in June 2004:

45

Average number of daily attacks by insurgents in June 2006:

90

 

 

Iraq – Political

 

Amount requested by the President in his Fiscal Year 2007 budget for democracy promotion in Iraq:

0

Percent of Iraqis who say they are optimistic about their future:

30 percent

According to a recent World Public Opinion poll, percent of Iraqis who approve of a timeline for U.S. withdrawal:

70 percent

Degree of corruption in Iraq on the Transparency International 2005 Corruption Perceptions Index (on a scale of 0-10, with 0 representing “highly corrupt” and 10 representing “highly clean”):

2.2

Number of corruption cases that have been filed since the Iraqi Commission on Public Integrity was established in 2004:

1,400

Approximate number of Iraqi families internally displaced as of February 2006  (prior to February 22 bombing of Shiite shrine in Samarra):

3,000

Approximate number of Iraqi families internally displaced as of June 2006, according to Iraq’s Ministry of Displacement and Migration:

21,731 or 130,386 people

Number of Iraqi civilians killed in May, according to data from the Iraqi Health Ministry and the Baghdad morgue:

2,669

Number of Iraqi civilians killed in June, according to data from the Iraqi Health Ministry and the Baghdad morgue:

3,149

Civilian death toll in Iraq in June 2006:

100  per day

Rank of Iraq in Minority Rights Group International’s list of peoples most under threat from persecution, discrimination, and mass killing:

1

The number of passports issued in the past ten months, according to the U.S. Committee for Refugees:

2 million

Percent of Iraq’s professional class that has left the country since late 2003:

40 percent

 

 

Iraq - Reconstruction

 

Amount of the $13.5 billion pledged by the international community for Iraq’s reconstruction that has been dispersed (as of March 2006):

$3.5 billion

Amount of taxpayer money spent by Halliburton that the Defense Contract Audit Agency has deemed either excessive or insufficiently documented:

$1.47 billion

Amount of Iraqi reconstruction funds the military has failed to account for (according to the Defense Department’s inspector general):

$8.8 billion

Amount, of the $20.9 billion appropriated for the Iraq Relief and Reconstruction Fund (IRRF), that the U.S. has spent as of July 2006:

$14.9 billion

Percent of Iraq reconstruction funds used for security:

25

Number of days before all funding will be obligated and no new work orders will be allowed under the Iraq Relief and Reconstruction Fund:

71

Anticipated reconstruction gap (difference between estimates of what is needed to rebuild and what the international community has pledged in aid) that the new Iraqi government will face:

$18-28 billion

Percent decline in Iraq’s GDP in 2005:

3

Average oil output for 2006 (barrels per day):

2.0 million

Average oil output prior to invasion (barrels per day):

2.5 million

Bush Administration’s prewar projections of Iraq’s post-war oil output (barrels per day):

3 million

Average oil output for 2005 (barrels per day):

1.83 million

Iraq’s lost oil revenues in 2005:

$6.25 billion

Percent of Iraq’s economy represented by oil revenues:

94

Amount U.S. taxpayers have invested in Iraq’s oil industry reconstruction:

$2 billion

Approximate number of guards who actually were trained in protecting Iraq’s oil equipment, of the 21,000 originally targeted:

11,000

Electricity capacity in Iraq (in megawatts) prior to invasion (March 2003):

4,500

Electricity capacity in Iraq (in megawatts) in July 2006:

4,200

Approximate amount U.S. taxpayers have invested in Iraq’s electricity sector:

$5 billion

Percent of Iraqis who had access to sewer service prior to invasion:

24

Percent of Iraqis who had access to sewer service in February 2006:

20

Number of Iraqis who had access to potable water before invasion:

13 million

Number of Iraqis who have access to potable water, according to the April 2006 SIGIR report:

8 million

Number of the planned 142 health care clinics that actually will be completed under the Army Corps of Engineers $243 million program:

20

Number of the planned 136 sanitation and water projects that will be completed: 

49

Number of Iraqi physicians registered prior to the invasion:

34,000

Number of Iraqi physicians who have been murdered or fled the country since the invasion:

14,000

Infant mortality rate in Iraq: (Middle East average is 37, sub-Saharan Africa average is 105)

102

 

 

Terrorism

 

Days since September 11, 2001 that Osama bin Laden has remained uncaptured:

1,772

Days after bombing Pearl Harbor that Japan surrendered to U.S. forces:

1,365

Number of significant global terrorist attacks reported by the State Department in 2003:

175

Total number of worldwide global terrorist attacks reported by the U.S. Government’s National Counterterrorism Center in 2004:

3,194

Total number of worldwide global terrorist attacks reported by the U.S. Government’s National Counterterrorism Center in 2005:

11,111

Percentage of total worldwide suicide attacks that have occurred since 9/11:

81 percent

Percent of more than 100 of America’s top foreign policy experts (bipartisan group) who say the U.S. is not winning the war on terror:

84 percent

Percent of those experts who believe that Bush Administration policies are undermining the war on terror:

81 percent

Rank of Iraq on the “failed states” index:

4

Rank of Afghanistan on the “failed states” index:

10

Rank of Iraq among all nations as a training ground for terrorists:

1

Percent of top FBI jobs in the Washington area that currently are vacant (including counter-terrorism experts):

20

Percentage of respondents in a recent Financial Times/Harris poll conducted in Spain, the UK, France, Germany, and Italy who identified the U.S. as the greatest threat to global stability:

36 percent

 

 

Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD)

 

Rank of the danger of terrorists gaining access to WMD as a threat to U.S. national security according to the Bush Administration:

1

Number of discovered cases of potential illicit smuggling of nuclear or radiological material out of the former Soviet Union in 2004:

200

Percent of former Soviet nuclear material stockpiles secured under Nunn-Lugar counterproliferation programs:

29

Of the $20 billion the G-8 pledged to raise between 2002 and 2012 to prevent terrorists from obtaining nuclear materials, amount that actually has been donated:

3.5 billion

Percent of security upgrades completed on former Soviet buildings containing nuclear material:

54

Year loose Russian nuclear materials would be secured if recommendations of the bipartisan Baker-Cutler task force (Jan. 2001) were adopted:

2010

Year loose Russian nuclear materials will be secured under Bush Administration policies according to the National Nuclear Security Agency:

2020

Percent decrease in funding for the Cooperative Threat Reduction Program under the Presidents Fiscal Year 2007 budget:

10.4

Approximate number of the world’s 130 civilian nuclear reactors that are vulnerable to terrorist theft, according to the National Nuclear Security Administration:

47

·         North Korea

 

Estimated minimum number of nuclear weapons likely produced by North Korea during the Bush Administration:

4-10

Estimated number produced by North Korea from 1953 to 2000: 

1-2

Estimated number of medium range missiles (capable of reaching U.S. military bases in Japan) produced by North Korea during the Bush Administration:

100

Estimated number of medium range missiles produced by North Korea from 1988 to 2000:

100

Estimated amount North Korea currently earns annually from missile exports, mainly to Middle Eastern countries:

$1.5 billion

·         Iran

 

Number of years before Iran will be able to produce a nuclear weapon, according to media reports on the spring 2005 National Intelligence Estimate:

5-10

Rank of Iran in the State Department’s report on state-sponsors of terrorism:

1

Amount the Bush Administration requested in supplemental funding for 2006 in support of pro-democracy forces in Iran:

$75 million

Number of days the Bush Administration has allowed Iranian nuclear activities to continue without full international verification and monitoring:

2,391

·         India

 

Number of international agreements on nonproliferation to which India is a party:

0

Number of India’s 22 nuclear plants that would not be monitored by international inspectors, under the preliminary deal brokered between the U.S. and India on March 2, 2006:

 

8

Estimated number of nuclear weapons India currently has the capacity to produce each year:

6-10

Estimated number of nuclear weapons India will have the capacity to produce each year under the March 2006 U.S. – India nuclear deal:

 

<50

 

 

U.S. Military

 

·         Readiness/Strain

 

Number of National Guard members deployed to the southern borders of the U.S. (of the 2,500 President Bush pledged would be in place by July 1):

1,400

Total National Guard and Reserve personnel called to active duty as of July 12, 2006:

111,768

Percent of National Guard combat battalions and special operations mobilized since 9/11:

95

Percent of National Guard mobilized for more than 18 consecutive months:

60

Of the 189,000 members of the Army Reserve force available for call-up to active-duty service, according to Army officials:

34,000

Percent of the Army’s available active duty combat brigades that have served at least a 12-month tour in Iraq or Afghanistan:

100

Average tour of duty for National Guard members:

342 days

Number of months after U.S. invasion of Iraq that all American soldiers received body armor:

18

Cost to reconstitute equipment lost by the Marine Corps in Iraq:

$12.8 billion

Amount the Marine Corps have received so far for repairing and replacing equipment:

$1.6 billion

Annual costs of replacing, repairing, and upgrading Army equipment in Iraq and Afghanistan for Fiscal Years 2002-2006:

$4 billion

Anticipated cost for replacing, repairing, and upgrading Army equipment in Iraq and Afghanistan for Fiscal Year 2007:

$17.1 billion

Anticipated cost for replacing, repairing, and upgrading Army equipment in Iraq and Afghanistan beyond Fiscal Year 2007 and for a minimum of 2-3 years after the end of OEF/OIF:

$12-13 billion

Current shortfall Army faces at posts at home and abroad due to funds diverted to Iraq and the war on terror:

$530 million

 

 

·         Recruiting and Retention

 

Number of recruits by which the Army missed its Fiscal Year 2005 recruiting goal of 80,000:

6,627

Number of the six Reserve Components that fell short of their Fiscal Year 2005 recruiting goals:

4

Total number of recruits by which the six Reserve Components fell short of their cumulative Fiscal Year 2005 recruiting goal:

18,864

Year in which the Army last experienced a recruiting shortfall as large as the Fiscal Year 2005 shortfall:

1979

Approximate number of troops Army currently is short (in junior ranks):

18,000

Approximate number of troops Army is expected to be short (in junior ranks) by the end of Fiscal Year 2006: 

30,000

Percent of Army enlisted special operations personnel leaving in 2003:

6

Percent of Army enlisted special operations personnel leaving the force in 2004:

13

Shortage of Captains, who serve as unit-level leaders, in the Army Reserve:

52

Change in national enrollment for the Army Reserve Officers’ Training Corps (ROTC) since 2002:

-14

Maximum enlistment age for the U.S. Army today:

42

Maximum enlistment age for the U.S. Army in December 2005:

35

 

 

Darfur

 

Estimated conflict-related deaths since the crisis began in February 2003:

300,000- 400,000

Conflict-affected population in Darfur/Chad:

2.5 million

Approximate number of Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs):

1.8 million

Number of Darfuris forced to flee their homes so far in 2006 according to the International Organization for Migration:

50,000

Total population of the Darfur region:

6 million

Days since the Bush Administration first called the situation “genocide”:

679

Number of days after the Senate passed the Darfur Accountability Act as an amendment to H.R. 1268 that the Administration wrote a letter pressuring House Republicans (successfully) to remove it from the final bill:

 

1

Number of war-affected civilians dependent on food and medical aid:

3.5 million

According to the U.N., the number of civilians aid workers are unable to reach due to the deteriorating security environment:

650,000

 

 

Homeland Security

 

Of 14 recommendations by the 9/11 Commission related to homeland security and emergency preparedness/response, number for which 9/11 Commissioners have judged progress on implementation to be “minimal” or “unsatisfactory”:

 

11

Percent of national security budget spent on Homeland Security:

9

Percent by which President Bush’s Fiscal Year 2007 budget proposal would cut aid to local police:

51

·         Aviation Security 

 

Percent of 21 tested airports that GAO inspectors were able to smuggle bomb components past TSA screeners in March 2006:

100

Amount TSA spends on security for each air travel passenger:

$9

·         Rail and Mass Transit

 

Factor by which passengers on mass transit systems exceed passengers on airlines:

16

Ratio of federal air security screeners to federal surface transportation (rail and public transit) security screeners:

450:1

Funding per passenger the Bush Administration has spent to secure mass transit systems since September 11, 2001:

$0.01

Cost of security upgrades needed to protect rail and transit systems as estimated by U.S. transit authorities:

$6 billion

 Approximate amount the federal government spent on transit security in 2005:

$150 million

·         Chemical Security

 

Number of provisions in federal law requiring chemical facilities to establish safeguards against a terrorist attack:

0

Approximate number of chemical facilities in the U.S.: 

15,000

Number of chemical facilities at which a terrorist strike could threaten the lives of over 1 million people:

123

Approximate number of chemical facilities at which a terrorist attack could threaten the lives of more than 1,000 people:

3,400

Percent of our nation’s 60,000 railroad tank cars that carry hazardous materials that are not up to current industry standards and less resistant to rupture, according to the National Transportation Safety Board:

>50

·         Port Security

 

Percent of 11 million cargo containers that arrive at U.S. ports each year inspected: 

5

Percent of cargo inspected for WMD: 

<1

Percent of “high-risk” cargo inspected:

17.5

Estimated economic impact of a terrorist attack on a major U.S. port:

$60 billion

Estimated economic impact of a terrorist on a major U.S. port involving nuclear weapons:

$1 trillion

Number of inspectors Department of Homeland Security has to certify and validate more than 10,000 shipping companies’ applications under C-TPAT:

80

Percent of C-TPAT members’ security programs Customs and Border Patrol inspectors have validated:

11

Number of inspectors Coast Guard relies on to conduct security compliance checks at 135 foreign ports:

20

Deadline for meeting port security standards set by the Maritime Transportation Security Act

2004

Year in which MTSA port security standards will be met if port security funding levels remain constant:

2050

Amount the Coast Guard estimated it would cost over ten years for ports to implement port security standards required under the Maritime Transportation and Security Act:

$5.4 billion

Amount the Bush Administration and Republican Congress have allocated for port security upgrades in first five years of funding:

$816 million

Amount of Democrat-proposed port security funding increases thwarted by Bush Republicans since 9/11:

$2.4 billion

·         Border Security

 

Number of illegal border crossers apprehended annually between 1996-2000:

1.5 million

Number of illegal border crossers apprehended annually between 2001-2004:

1 million

Percent decrease in apprehensions of illegal border crossers during Bush Administration:

30

Number of new border patrol agents the 9/11 Act authorized each year for Fiscal Years 2006-2010:

2,000

Number of border patrol agents funded for Fiscal Year 2007:

1,000

Percentage of illegal border crossers the Border Patrol can handle under current staffing levels:

10

Chance that a non-Mexican illegal immigrant apprehended while trying to cross into the United States along the southwestern border will be released because of lack of resources:

 

80

·         Disaster Preparedness

 

Percent of National Guard equipment currently available for domestic emergency response, according to the National Guard Bureau:

34

Percent of necessary equipment generally available to National Guard, according to the GAO:

65-79

Approximate amount of Democratic funding requests for Homeland Security blocked by Republican majority over the past 3 years:

$70 billion

Number of candidates who turned down the job of FEMA Director before the Bush Administration nominated interim Director David Paulison:

7

Percent of vacancies in FEMA as of June 2006:

18.5 percent

Amount of aid appropriated for Hurricane Katrina and Rita relief:

$106.4 billion

According to a GAO audit, percent of $6.3 billion in funds given directly to Katrina and Rita hurricane victims that may have been improperly distributed:

21 percent

According to the GAO, amount of fraud and waste of the $19 billion spent by FEMA on Hurricanes Katrina and Rita as of mid-June:

$2 billion

Days since Katrina made landfall:

325

Proportion of open schools in New Orleans Metro Area as of July 1, 2006:

66

Proportion of operational public transportation routes in New Orleans metro area as of July 2, 2006:

49

Unemployment rates for displaced evacuees as of June 2006:

25.9

Highest category hurricane the New Orleans levee system is able to fully protect against – after the Army Corps of Engineers completed its $800 million repair effort:

2

·         Bioterror/Avian Flu Preparedness

 

Percent of Americans the Department of Health and Human Services currently is able to provide antiviral treatment for (in the case of an avian flu pandemic):

1.7

Percent of Americans who live in states that do not have plans for dealing with large-scale casualties in the event of a catastrophic bioterror attack:

> 50

Percent of Americans who would have no access to hospitals with the necessary equipment to handle a catastrophic bioterror attack:

20

Number of states that have the capacity to deliver and administer vital medicines in the event of a large-scale pandemic or bioterror attack:

7

Number of cities that have the capacity to deliver and administer vital medicines in the event of a large-scale pandemic or bioterror attack:

3

 

 

Veterans

 

Number of veterans’ privacy information compromised by data breach in the Veterans Affairs Department:

2.65 million

Number of days that passed before head of the Veterans Affairs Department or the FBI was notified of the data breach:

13

Number of Iraq and Afghanistan war veterans who have left active duty through November 2005:

505,366

Number of these veterans seeking health care from VA hospitals, through November 2005:

144,424

Percent of OIF/OEF veterans seen by VA for mental disorders through November 2005:

32.2

Number of OIF/OEF veterans seen for Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder through November 2005:

24,852

Number of veterans denied access to VA health services since the Bush Administration imposed a ban on Priority 8 veterans as of September 2005:

263,257

Total Compensation and Pension Claims Backlog as of March 2006:

582,204

Number of these claims pending for more than 6 months:

130,681

Percent change in pending claims from the end of Fiscal Year 2003 to March 2006:

+129

Gap between veterans’ needs and President Bush’s FY 2007 Budget Proposal:

$1.5 billion

Percent increase needed each year just to maintain existing programs in the face of medical inflation and other rising costs:

13-14

Fiscal Year 2005 budget shortfall announced by the VA:

$1.27 billion

Number of weeks prior to the VA’s budget shortfall announcement that VA Secretary Nicholson told Congress, I can assure you that VA does not need emergency supplemental funds in FY 2005”:

 

11

Total funding shortfall for Fiscal Years 2005 and 2006 now identified by the Bush Administration:

$3 billion

Percentage rise in the number of veterans collecting unemployment insurance since August 2002: 

96

Approximate number of veterans who experience homelessness during a given year:

500,000

 

 

Democracy and Development

 

Percent of U.S. funds dedicated to international development initiatives, as compared to military spending:

1

Percent by which President Bush’s Fiscal Year 2007 budget proposes to cut  international development aid:

16

Number of member countries, including the United States, that voted against the approval of a new U.N Rights Council on March 15, 2006:

4

Number of countries who voted for its approval:

170

Total amount appropriated to the Millennium Challenge Account (MCA) so far:

$2.7 billion

Total aid distributed by the MCA so far:

$82 million

Average amount per year to be distributed through the eight compact agreements signed so far:

$38.8 million

Annual amount President Bush promised for the MCA:

$5 billion

Average amount requested in President Bush’s annual budgets since he proposed the MCA:

$2.45 billion

Number of the world’s ten poorest nations with whom the United States has signed an MCA compact:

1

Number of the world’s 40 poorest nations with whom the United States has signed an MCA compact:

2

Rank of U.S. among 21 developed nations in foreign assistance spending measured as a percentage of Gross National Product:

20

Number of children dying each day from preventable diseases:

27,000

Percentage of the world’s population living on less than $2 per day:

50

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SOURCES

 

Statistics of the Month

1. New York Review of Books, 6/22/06.

2. New York Review of Books, 6/22/06.

3. New York Review of Books, 6/22/06.

4. New York Review of Books, 6/22/06.

5. New York Review of Books, 6/22/06.           

6. USA Today, 6/20/06.

7. USA Today, 6/20/06.

8. New York Review of Books, 6/22/06.

9. American Prospect, 6/29/06.

10. Las Vegas Sun, 6/27/06.

11. Council on Foreign Relations, 3/12/06.

 

Iraq – Security

1.  Brookings Institution Iraq Index, July 17, 2006. (http://www.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index.pdf)

2.  The Brookings Institution Iraq Index reports that there were approximately 19,000 non-U.S., non-Iraqi troops in Iraq as of June 2006.  July 17, 2006. (http://www.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index.pdf)

3.  Senate Appropriations Committee Minority Staff.

4.  Christian Science Monitor, 8/29/05.

5.  Congressional Research Service RL 33110. (http://www.congress.gov/erp/rl/pdf/RL33110.pdf)  This estimate includes both operational (military personnel, operation and maintenance, working capitol, defense health) and investment (procurement, RTD&E, and military construction) costs.

6.  Congressional Research Service RL 33110. (http://www.congress.gov/erp/rl/pdf/RL33110.pdf)  This estimate includes both operational (military personnel, operation and maintenance, working capitol, defense health) and investment (procurement, RTD&E, and military construction) costs.

7.  DoD Casualty Report (http://www.dod.gov/news/casualty.pdf) July 19, 2006.

8. DoD Casualty Report (http://www.dod.gov/news/casualty.pdf) July 19, 2006.

9. As of July 1, 2006.  Brookings Institution Iraq Index, July 17, 2006. (http://www.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index.pdf)

10.  New York Daily News, 7/5/05.

11.  As of July 16, 2006.  Brookings Institution Iraq Index, July 17, 2006. (http://www.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index.pdf)

12.  Brookings Institution Iraq Index, July 17, 2006. (http://www.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index.pdf)

13.  New York Times, 5/30/06.

14.  New York Times, 5/30/06.

15.  Brookings Institution Iraq Index, July 17, 2006. (http://www.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index.pdf)

16. New York Times, 6/15/06.

17. New York Times, 6/15/06.

18.  As of July 5, 2006, Brookings Institution Iraq Index, July 17, 2006. (http://www.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index.pdf) (and not including deaths from crime); other estimates cite higher numbers: 39,123 – 43,575 according to the Iraq Body Count (http://www.iraqbodycount.net/) accessed on 7/18/06.

19.  Measuring Security and Stability in Iraq, February 2006.

20. Brookings Institution Iraq Index, July 17, 2006. (http://www.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index.pdf)

21. Brookings Institution Iraq Index, July 17, 2006. (http://www.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index.pdf)

22. Brookings Institution Iraq Index, July 17, 2006. (http://www.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index.pdf)

23. Brookings Institution Iraq Index, July 17, 2006. (http://www.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index.pdf)

 

Iraq – Political

1.  Senate Appropriations Committee, Minority Staff.

2.  According to Michael O’Hanlon of the Brookings Institution, in an op-ed in the Baltimore Sun, 7/12/06.

3.  Worldpublicopinion.org, 6/23/06.

4.  Transparency International (http://www.transparency.org)

5.  AFP, 7/7/06.

6.  Brookings Institution Iraq Index, July 17, 2006. (http://www.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index.pdf)

7.  According to Iraq’s Ministry of Displaced and Migration, reported by Reuters, 6/26/06.

8.  Reuters, 7/18/06.  Reuters reports that a new U.N. report has compiled data from the Baghdad morgue and Iraqi Health Ministry.  The Baghdad morgue reports taking in 1,155 bodies in April, 1,375 in May and 1,595 in June.  An estimated 80 percent of these deaths were the result of violence.  At the same time, Iraq’s Health Ministry reports a further 1,294 violent deaths in May and 1,554 in June.  See http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/MAC852433.htm.

9.  Reuters, 7/18/06.  See details in #8.

10. New York Times, 7/19/06.

11. Minority Rights Group, 1/19/2006. (http://www.minorityrights.org/)

12. New York Times, 6/26/06.

13. New York Times, 6/26/06.

 

Iraq - Reconstruction

1. As of March 2006.  Measuring Security and Stability in Iraq, May 2006. (http://www.defenselink.mil/news/may2006/d20060530SecurityandStabiltyRptFinalv2.pdf)

2. Boston Globe, 6/28/05.

3. Boston Globe, 4/6/06.

4. As of July 2006. Brookings Institution Iraq Index, July 17, 2006. (http://www.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index.pdf)

5. Los Angeles Times, 1/2/06.

6. Christian Science Monitor, 6/15/06.

7. Washington Post, 7/12/06.  According to the Army, all monies under IRRF will be obligated by September 30 and no new work orders will be issued after that date.

8. According to the Economist Intelligence Unit, reported by the Los Angeles Times, 1/2/06.

9. Brookings Institution Iraq Index, July 17, 2006. (http://www.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index.pdf).

10. Brookings Institution Iraq Index, July 17, 2006. (http://www.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index.pdf).

11. UPI, 2/23/06.

12. UPI, 2/23/06.

13. According to Iraqi oil ministry spokesman, Assem Jihad, reported by UPI, 2/23/06.

14. UPI, 2/23/06.

15. UPI, 2/23/06.

16. New York Times, 4/30/06.

17. Boston Globe, 2/16/06.

18. As of July, 2006. Brookings Institution Iraq Index, July 17, 2006. (http://www.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index.pdf)

19. New York Times, 3/2/06.

20. Council on Foreign Relations, 6/22/06.

21. Council on Foreign Relations, 6/22/06.

22. IRIN, 6/26/06.

23. IRIN, 6/26/06.

24. New York Times, 4/30/06.

25. Council on Foreign Relations, 6/22/06.

26. As of July 2006. Brookings Institution Iraq Index, July 17, 2006. (http://www.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index.pdf)

27. Brookings Institution Iraq Index, July 18, 2006. (http://www.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index.pdf)

28. Brookings Institution Iraq Index, July 18, 2006. (http://www.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index.pdf)

 

Terrorism

1.  As of July 20, 2006.

2.  Japan signed the Instrument of Surrender on September 2, 1945.

3.  State Department press briefing, 4/27/05.

4.  According to the National Counterterrorism Center, reported by the Christian Science Monitor, 4/21/06. (http://www.csmonitor.com/2006/0421/dailyUpdate.html)

5.  National Counterterrorism Center, Country Reports on Terrorism 2005.

6. Center for American Progress, 6/14/06.

7. Center for American Progress, 6/14/06.

8. Center for American Progress, 6/14/06.

9. According to the Foreign Policy magazine and Fund for Peace study, as reported by USA Today, 5/2/06.

10. According to the Foreign Policy magazine and Fund for Peace study, as reported by USA Today, 5/2/06.

11.  New York Times, 6/22/05.

12. Los Angeles Times, 5/23/06.

13. Financial Times, 6/18/06.

 

WMD

1. Worst Weapons In Worst Hands, National Security Advisory Group, 7/05, (http://www.carnegieendowment.org/static/npp/NSAG.pdf); President Bush asserted this in the first Presidential Debate, 9/30/04. (http://www.debates.org/pages/trans2004a.html)

2. House Homeland Security Subcommittee on Emergency Preparedness, Science, and Technology hearing, 6/21/05

3. Securing the Bomb, July 2006. (http://www.nti.org/e_research/stb06webfull.pdf)

4. Boston Globe, 7/17/06.  According to a Harvard report, Securing the Bomb.

5. Securing the Bomb, July 2006. (http://www.nti.org/e_research/stb06webfull.pdf)

6. The Race to Secure Russian Nukes: Progress Since 9/11. Henry L. Stimson Center and the Center for American Progress, September, 2005.

7. According to the National Nuclear Security Agency (NNSA), reported in Year End Nuclear Progress Report, The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 12/6/05.  Others, including the Stimson Center and Center for American Progress suggest a later date of completion – as late as 2030.

8. Center for American Progress, 5/3/06.          

9. USA Today, 3/27/06.

North Korea

1. ISIS, 6/26/06 (http://www.isis-online.org/publications/dprk/dprkplutonium.pdf)

2.  Congressional Research Service IB91141, 2/16/06.

3 and 4. The U.S. Military estimated that North Korea had “around 100” Nodong-1 medium range missiles in 2000, as reported by Korea Central Daily (FBIS), 4/23/01.  The CNS Special Report on North Korean Ballistic Missile Capabilities, 3/22/06 (http://cns.miis.edu/pubs/week/pdf/060321.pdf) reports that North Korean has approximately 200 Nodong-1 medium range missiles.

5. Washington Post, 7/11/06.

Iran

1. According to the August 2005 National Intelligence Estimate, reported by The New York Times, 8/2/05 and CRS RL32048. (http://www.congress.gov/erp/rl/html/RL32048.html#n_15_)

2. CRS, RL32048. (http://www.congress.gov/erp/rl/html/RL32048.html#TOC1_5)

3. Washington Post, 2/16/06.

4. As of July 20, 2006.  Days since the Bush Administration has been in office.

India

1. CRS, RL33016. (http://www.congress.gov/erp/rl/pdf/RL33016.pdf)

2. Henry L. Stimson Center, 3/15/06.

3. Asia Times, 3/4/06.

4. Expert estimates vary.  Jimmy Carter stated in the Washington Post, 3/29/06 that the deal would allow India to produce “as many as 50 weapons a year.”  This same estimate was reported by Glenn Kessler in the Washington Post, 4/2/06.  Joseph Cirincione, Director for Non-Proliferation at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace estimates that the U.S. – India deal will allow India to increase its production to “several dozen per year.” (Asia Times, 4/3/06)

 

U.S. Military Personnel

                Readiness/Strain

1. Washington Post, 7/1/706.  While 3,600 Guard troops had arrived in Arizona, California, Texas and New Mexico, National Guard spokeswoman Kristine Munn tells the Post that only “about 1,400 were deployed in direct support of the Border Patrol” and that the rest were in training or at the Guar’'s four in-state headquarters.

2. As of May 24, 2006.  DoD Press Resources (http://www.defenselink.mil/releases/2006/nr20060524-13110.html)

3. 2006 National Security Briefing Book, Foreign Policy Leadership Council, 2/06. (http://www.fpleadership.org/files/FPLC-VFI%20BriefingBook.pdf)

4. The U.S. Military: Under Strain and at Risk. The National Security Advisory Group, January 2006.

5. Wall Street Journal, 6/21/06.

6. The U.S. Military: Under Strain and at Risk. The National Security Advisory Group, January 2006.

7. The U.S. Military: Under Strain and at Risk. The National Security Advisory Group, January 2006.

8. 2006 National Security Briefing Book, Foreign Policy Leadership Council, 2/06.

9. New York Times, 1/7/06.

10. AP, 6/27/06.

11. AP, 6/27/06.

12. AP, 6/27/06.

13. GAO-06-885T, 7/18/06.

14. Associated Press, 7/9/06.

Recruiting and Retention

1.  Defense Department Press Release. (http://www.dod.gov/releases/2005/nr20051011-4881.html)

2.  Defense Department Press Release. (http://www.dod.gov/releases/2005/nr20051011-4881.html)

3.  Defense Department Press Release. (http://www.dod.gov/releases/2005/nr20051011-4881.html)

4.  New York Times, 9/30/05.

5.  The U.S. Military: Under Strain and at Risk. The National Security Advisory Group, January 2006.

6. The U.S. Military: Under Strain and at Risk. The National Security Advisory Group, January 2006.

7.  Winston-Salem Journal, 7/30/05.

8.  Winston-Salem Journal, 7/30/05.

9.  GAO-05-660 (http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d05660.pdf)

10.  Norfolk Virginian-Pilot, 10/31/05.

11. Reuters, 6/21/06.

12. Reuters, 6/21/06.

               

Darfur

1. CRS Report IB98043, 2/24/06. (http://www.congress.gov/erp/ib/html/IB98043.html)

2. CRS Report IB98043, 2/24/06. (http://www.congress.gov/erp/ib/html/IB98043.html)

3. CRS Report IB98043, 2/24/06. (http://www.congress.gov/erp/ib/html/IB98043.html)

4. As of June 5, 2006. Genocide Intervention Fund, 3/31/06. (http://www.genocideinterventionfund.org/educate/darfurnews/)

5. U.S. State Department (http://www.state.gov/g/drl/rls/36028.htm)

6. Through July 20, 2005.  Powell, Senate Foreign Relations Committee Hearing, 9/9/04. 

7. American Prospect, 4/29/05. (http://www.prospect.org/web/page.ww?section=root&name=ViewWeb&articleId=9622)

8. To Save Darfur, International Crisis Group, 3/17/06. (http://www.crisisgroup.org/library/documents/africa/horn_of_africa/105_to_save_darfur.pdf)

9. Human Rights Watch, 5/25/06.

 

Homeland Security

1.  9/11 Public Discourse Project, Final Report on 9/11 Commission Recommendations, 12/05. (http://www.9-11pdp.org/press/2005-12-05_report.pdf)

2.  “Setting the Wrong Priorities: An Analysis of the President's 2007 Budget,” Center for American Progress, 2/7/06. (http://www.americanprogress.org/atf/cf/{E9245FE4-9A2B-43C7-A521-5D6FF2E06E03}/2007_BUDGET_ANALYSIS.PDF)

3. Washington Post, 4/6/06.  The Bush Administration’s Fiscal Year 2007 budget proposal would cut more than $1 billion in assistance to local law enforcement: $376 million in cuts to the COPS program; $416 million in cuts to the Justice Assistance Grant Program, and; $400 million in cuts to the Law Enforcement Terrorism Prevention Program.

Aviation Security

1. According to a yet-released GAO study, reported by Reuters, 3/17/06.

2. govexec.com, 6/20/06.

              Rail and Mass Transit Security        

1. USA Today, 7/7/05.

2. New Strategies to Protect America: Safer Ports for a More Secure Economy, Center for American Progress, 6/15/05. (http://www.americanprogress.org/atf/cf/%7BE9245FE4-9A2B-43C7-A521-5D6FF2E06E03%7D/port_security.pdf

3. USA Today, 7/7/05.

4. USA Today, 7/7/05.

5. San Francisco Chronicle, 8/21/05.

Chemical Security

1. Senator John Corzine, Senate Homeland Security and Government Affairs Committee, 4/27/05. (http://hsgac.senate.gov/_files/CorzineHSGACtestimony.pdf)

2. New Strategies to Protect America: Securing our Nation's Chemical Facilities, Center for American Progress, 4/6/05. (http://www.americanprogress.org/site/pp.asp?c=biJRJ8OVF&b=495729)

3. Washington Post, 12/31/04.

4. Washington Post, 3/22/06.

5. New Strategies to Protect America: Securing our Nation's Chemical Facilities, Center for American Progress, 4/6/05. (http://www.americanprogress.org/site/pp.asp?c=biJRJ8OVF&b=495729)

Port Security

1. Appropriations Committee Minority Staff, 2/06.

2. Associated Press, 5/25/05.

3. Associated Press, 5/25/05.

4. New Strategies to Protect America: Safer Ports for a More Secure Economy, Center for American Progress, 6/15/05. (http://www.americanprogress.org/atf/cf/%7BE9245FE4-9A2B-43C7-A521-5D6FF2E06E03%7D/port_security.pdf)

5. Protecting the American Homeland: A Preliminary Analysis, Brookings Institution, May 2002.

6. Washington Times, 3/21/06.

7. Testimony of Clark Kent Ervin before the 9/11 Public Discourse Project, 6/28/05.

8. New York Times, 2/28/06.

9. New Strategies to Protect America: Safer Ports for a More Secure Economy, Center for American Progress, 6/15/05. (http://www.americanprogress.org/atf/cf/%7BE9245FE4-9A2B-43C7-A521-5D6FF2E06E03%7D/port_security.pdf

10. New Strategies to Protect America: Safer Ports for a More Secure Economy, Center for American Progress, 6/15/05. (http://www.americanprogress.org/atf/cf/%7BE9245FE4-9A2B-43C7-A521-5D6FF2E06E03%7D/port_security.pdf

11. American Association of Port Authorities. (http://www.aapa-ports.org/)

12. Appropriations Committee, Minority Staff, 2/06.

13. Appropriations Committee, Minority Staff, 2/06.

Border Security

1. Third Way, May 2006. (http://www.third-way.com/data/product/file/38/Immigration_Enforcement_Report.pdf)

2. Third Way, May 2006. (http://www.third-way.com/data/product/file/38/Immigration_Enforcement_Report.pdf)

3. Third Way, May 2006. (http://www.third-way.com/data/product/file/38/Immigration_Enforcement_Report.pdf)

4. The Intelligence Reform and Terrorism Prevention Act of 2004 (PL 108-458)

5. See Fiscal Year 2007 Budget Proposal: http://www.gpoaccess.gov/usbudget/

6. Washington Post, 5/21/06.

7. Secretary Michael Chertoff, testimony to the Senate Judiciary Committee, 10/18/05.

 

Disaster Preparedness/Katrina

1.  2006 National Security Briefing Book, Foreign Policy Leadership Council, 2/06.

2.  New York Times, 2/28/06.

3.  2006 National Security Briefing Book, Foreign Policy Leadership Council, 2/06.

4. New York Times, 4/2/06.

5. Department of Homeland Security Press Release, June 1, 2006. (http://www.dhs.gov/dhspublic/interapp/press_release/press_release_0923.xml)

6. Appropriations Committee Minority Staff.  $106.4 billion to date (including the $19.3 billion authorized in the FY 2006 Supplemental request. 

7. New York Times, 6/27/06.

8. New York Times, 6/27/06.

9. As of July 20, 2006.

10. Brookings Institute Katrina Index July 12, 2006. (http://www.brookings.edu/metro/pubs/200604_KatrinaIndex.pdf)

11. Brookings Institute Katrina Index July 12, 2006. (http://www.brookings.edu/metro/pubs/200604_KatrinaIndex.pdf)

12. Brookings Institute Katrina Index July 12, 2006. (http://www.brookings.edu/metro/pubs/200604_KatrinaIndex.pdf)

13. New York Times, 5/25/06.

Bioterror/Avian Flu Preparedness

1. AP, 4/26/06.

2. Center for American Progress, 5/23/06. (http://www.americanprogress.org/site/pp.asp?c=biJRJ8OVF&b=1706357)

3. Center for American Progress, 5/23/06. (http://www.americanprogress.org/site/pp.asp?c=biJRJ8OVF&b=1706357)

4. Center for American Progress, 5/23/06. (http://www.americanprogress.org/site/pp.asp?c=biJRJ8OVF&b=1706357)

5. Center for American Progress, 5/23/06. (http://www.americanprogress.org/site/pp.asp?c=biJRJ8OVF&b=1706357)

 

Veterans

1. New York Times, 5/24/06.

2. New York Times, 5/24/06.

3. Veterans Health Administration, 2/14/06.

4. Veterans Health Administration, 2/14/06.

5. Veterans Health Administration, 2/14/06.

6. Veterans Health Administration, 2/14/06.

7. Department of Veterans Affairs, 9/05.

8. VA Monday Morning Report, 3/25/06. (http://www.vba.va.gov/bln/201/reports/MMWL_REPORT_March%2027-06.xls)

9. VA Monday Morning Report, 3/25/06. (http://www.vba.va.gov/bln/201/reports/MMWL_REPORT_March%2027-06.xls)

10. GAO-05-749T (http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d05749t.pdf) reports 254,000 pending claims at the end of Fiscal Year 2003.   

11. Veterans Affairs Committee, Minority Staff, 3/2/06.

12. Veterans Independent Budget.

13. CQ Today, 7/13/05.

14.  Washington Post, 6/24/05.

15.  CQ Today, 7/13/05.

16.  Reuters, 8/30/05. (http://www.ngwrc.org/index.cfm?Page=Article&ID=2045)

17.   National Coalition of Homeless Veterans, testimony to House Veterans’ Affairs Subcommittee on Economic Opportunity. (http://www.nchv.org/content.cfm?id=43)

 

Democracy and Development

1. Council on Foreign Relations, 3/14/06. (http://www.cfr.org/publication/10161/global_poverty.html)

2.  Inter Press Service, 2/7/06.  The President’s Fiscal Year 2007 budget calls for $1.26 billion in funding, down from $1.5 billion in funding for Fiscal Year 2006.

3.  New York Times, 4/7/06.

4.  New York Times, 4/7/06.

5.  Center for Global Development, 3/30/06. (http://www.cgdev.org/)

6.  As of March 31, 2006.  Millennium Challenge Corporation. (http://www.mca.gov)

7.  Millennium Challenge Corporation. (http://www.mca.gov) The Millennium Challenge Corporation has signed a four-year, $110 million compact with Madagascar; a five-year, $215 million compact with Honduras; a five-year, $110 million compact with Cape Verde; a five-year, $175 million compact with Nicaragua; a five-year, $295.3 million compact with Georgia; a five-year, $236 million compact with Armenia; a 5-year, $307 million compact with Benin, and; a five-year, $66 million compact with Vanuatu.

8. Congressional Research Service, RL 32427.

9. Congressional Research Service, RL 32427.

10. Millennium Challenge Corporation. (http://www.mca.gov)

11. Millennium Challenge Corporation. (http://www.mca.gov)

12. Congressional Research Service, RL 32427 .

13.  Congressional Research Service, RL 32427.

14.  Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/59/51/34700392.pdf).

15.  Foreign Policy, February 2005. (http://www.cgdev.org/docs/FP_Radelet_2_05.pdf)

16.  Foreign Policy, February 2005. (http://www.cgdev.org/docs/FP_Radelet_2_05.pdf)